{ "Introduction": { "Background": { "text": "
The Tajik people came under Russian imperial rule in the 1860s and 1870s, but Russia's hold on Central Asia weakened following the Revolution of 1917. At that time, bands of indigenous guerrillas (known as \"basmachi\") fiercely contested Bolshevik control of the area, which was not fully reestablished until 1925. Tajikistan was first established as an autonomous Soviet Socialist Republic within the Uzbek Soviet Socialist Republic in 1924, but in 1929 the Soviet Union made Tajikistan as a separate republic and transferred to it much of present-day Sughd Province. Ethnic Uzbeks form a substantial minority in Tajikistan, and ethnic Tajiks an even larger minority in Uzbekistan. Tajikistan became independent in 1991 after the breakup of the Soviet Union, and the country experienced a civil war among political, regional, and religious factions from 1992 to 1997.
Despite Tajikistan's general elections for both the presidency (once every seven years) and legislature (once every five years), observers note an electoral system rife with irregularities and abuse, and results that are neither free nor fair. President Emomali RAHMON, who came to power in 1992 during the civil war and was first elected president in 1994, used an attack planned by a disaffected deputy defense minister in 2015 to ban the last major opposition party in Tajikistan. RAHMON further strengthened his position by having himself declared \"Founder of Peace and National Unity, Leader of the Nation,\" with limitless terms and lifelong immunity through constitutional amendments ratified in a referendum. The referendum also lowered the minimum age required to run for president from 35 to 30, which made RAHMON's first-born son Rustam EMOMALI, the mayor of the capital city of Dushanbe, eligible to run for president in 2020. RAHMON orchestrated EMOMALI's selection in 2020 as chairman of the Majlisi Milli (the upper chamber of Tajikistan's parliament), positioning EMOMALI as next in line of succession for the presidency. RAHMON opted to run in the presidential election later that year and received 91% of the vote.
The country remains the poorest of the former Soviet republics. Tajikistan became a member of the WTO in 2013, but its economy continues to face major challenges, including dependence on remittances from Tajikistani migrant laborers in Russia and Kazakhstan, pervasive corruption, the opiate trade, and destabilizing violence emanating from neighboring Afghanistan. Tajikistan has endured several domestic security incidents since 2010, including armed conflict between government forces and local strongmen in the Rasht Valley and between government forces and informal leaders in Gorno-Badakhshan Autonomous Oblast. Tajikistan suffered its first ISIS-claimed attack in 2018, when assailants attacked a group of Western bicyclists, killing four. Friction between forces on the border between Tajikistan and the Kyrgyz Republic flared up in 2021, culminating in fatal clashes between border forces in 2021 and 2022.
Tajikistan has a youthful age structure with almost 50% of the population under the age of 25. As a Soviet republic, Tajikistan had the highest fertility rate in the Soviet Union. The total fertility rate – the average number of births per woman – was highest in the mid-1970s, when it reached 6.3. In an effort to expand populations to meet economic goals, the Soviets provided resources that made large families affordable. The fertility rate decreased to 5 by the time of independence in 1991 and continued to decline thereafter. In 1996, the Tajik Government discontinued subsidies for large families and having several children became too expensive. The loss of subsidies, the 5-year civil war that followed independence, and other factors caused fertility to continue to fall steadily, but it remains above replacement level at 2.5. The availability of healthcare providers and family planning services is limited, contributing to couples having more children than they would like. As of 2017, 21% of women were using contraceptives.
Tajikistan’s ethnic make-up changed with the Soviet’s introduction of industrialization. Large numbers of Russian and Ukrainian immigrants arrived in the mid-1920s. Some were forced to immigrate while others came voluntarily to work in the cotton industry and in Tajikistan’s Soviet Government. The Russian and Ukrainian immigrants formed urban communities, while Tajiks and Uzbeks continued to live predominantly in rural areas. In addition, thousands of Tatars and Germans were deported to Tajikistan, accused of Nazi complicity during WWII.
Tajikistan’s ethnic composition was later shaped by the post-independence civil war from 1992-1997 and the economic devastation that followed. Most non-Tajik ethnic groups, including Uzbeks, Russians, Kyrgyz, and Ukrainians, fled to Russia and other former Soviet republics and many never returned, making the country overwhelming Tajik; approximately 80% of the population was Tajik by 2000.
Since the mid-1990s, labor has probably been Tajikistan’s main export. Remittances accounted for 30% of GDP in 2018 and are Tajikistan’s largest source of external income. Poverty, a lack of jobs, and higher wages abroad push Tajiks to emigrate. Russia – particularly Moscow – is the main destination, while a smaller number of religious Muslims, usually of Uzbek ancestry, migrate to Uzbekistan. The vast majority of labor migrants are unskilled or low-skilled young men who work primarily in construction but also agriculture, transportation, and retail. Many Tajik families are dependent on the money they send home for necessities, such as food and clothing, as well as for education and weddings rather than investment.
" }, "Age structure": { "0-14 years": { "text": "36.9% (male 1,953,472/female 1,877,192)" }, "15-64 years": { "text": "59.3% (male 3,086,964/female 3,071,642)" }, "65 years and over": { "text": "3.9% (2024 est.) (male 181,382/female 223,411)" } }, "Dependency ratios": { "total dependency ratio": { "text": "65.9" }, "youth dependency ratio": { "text": "60.4" }, "elderly dependency ratio": { "text": "5.5" }, "potential support ratio": { "text": "18.1 (2021 est.)" } }, "Median age": { "total": { "text": "22.8 years (2024 est.)" }, "male": { "text": "22.3 years" }, "female": { "text": "23.2 years" } }, "Population growth rate": { "text": "1.92% (2024 est.)" }, "Birth rate": { "text": "25.8 births/1,000 population (2024 est.)" }, "Death rate": { "text": "4.7 deaths/1,000 population (2024 est.)" }, "Net migration rate": { "text": "-2 migrant(s)/1,000 population (2024 est.)" }, "Population distribution": { "text": "the country's population is concentrated at lower elevations, with perhaps as much as 90% of the people living in valleys; overall density increases from east to west" }, "Urbanization": { "urban population": { "text": "28.2% of total population (2023)" }, "rate of urbanization": { "text": "2.73% annual rate of change (2020-25 est.)" } }, "Major urban areas - population": { "text": "987,000 DUSHANBE (capital) (2023)" }, "Sex ratio": { "at birth": { "text": "1.05 male(s)/female" }, "0-14 years": { "text": "1.04 male(s)/female" }, "15-64 years": { "text": "1 male(s)/female" }, "65 years and over": { "text": "0.81 male(s)/female" }, "total population": { "text": "1.01 male(s)/female (2024 est.)" } }, "Mother's mean age at first birth": { "text": "23.2 years (2017 est.)" }, "Maternal mortality ratio": { "text": "17 deaths/100,000 live births (2020 est.)" }, "Infant mortality rate": { "total": { "text": "21.7 deaths/1,000 live births (2024 est.)" }, "male": { "text": "24.3 deaths/1,000 live births" }, "female": { "text": "18.9 deaths/1,000 live births" } }, "Life expectancy at birth": { "total population": { "text": "71.9 years (2024 est.)" }, "male": { "text": "70.1 years" }, "female": { "text": "73.8 years" } }, "Total fertility rate": { "text": "3.56 children born/woman (2024 est.)" }, "Gross reproduction rate": { "text": "1.73 (2024 est.)" }, "Contraceptive prevalence rate": { "text": "29.3% (2017)" }, "Drinking water source": { "improved: urban": { "text": "urban: 96.5% of population" }, "improved: rural": { "text": "rural: 79.9% of population" }, "improved: total": { "text": "total: 84.4% of population" }, "unimproved: urban": { "text": "urban: 3.5% of population" }, "unimproved: rural": { "text": "rural: 20.1% of population" }, "unimproved: total": { "text": "total: 15.6% of population (2020 est.)" } }, "Current health expenditure": { "text": "8.2% of GDP (2020)" }, "Physician density": { "text": "1.72 physicians/1,000 population (2014)" }, "Hospital bed density": { "text": "4.7 beds/1,000 population (2014)" }, "Sanitation facility access": { "improved: urban": { "text": "urban: 98.9% of population" }, "improved: rural": { "text": "rural: 99.6% of population" }, "improved: total": { "text": "total: 99.4% of population" }, "unimproved: urban": { "text": "urban: 1.1% of population" }, "unimproved: rural": { "text": "rural: 0.4% of population" }, "unimproved: total": { "text": "total: 0.6% of population (2020 est.)" } }, "Obesity - adult prevalence rate": { "text": "14.2% (2016)" }, "Alcohol consumption per capita": { "total": { "text": "0.85 liters of pure alcohol (2019 est.)" }, "beer": { "text": "0.38 liters of pure alcohol (2019 est.)" }, "wine": { "text": "0.01 liters of pure alcohol (2019 est.)" }, "spirits": { "text": "0.45 liters of pure alcohol (2019 est.)" }, "other alcohols": { "text": "0 liters of pure alcohol (2019 est.)" } }, "Children under the age of 5 years underweight": { "text": "7.6% (2017)" }, "Currently married women (ages 15-49)": { "text": "72% (2023 est.)" }, "Child marriage": { "women married by age 15": { "text": "0.1%" }, "women married by age 18": { "text": "8.7% (2017 est.)" } }, "Education expenditures": { "text": "5.9% of GDP (2020 est.)" }, "Literacy": { "definition": { "text": "age 15 and over can read and write" }, "total population": { "text": "99.8%" }, "male": { "text": "99.8%" }, "female": { "text": "99.7% (2015)" } }, "School life expectancy (primary to tertiary education)": { "total": { "text": "11 years" }, "male": { "text": "12 years" }, "female": { "text": "11 years (2013)" } } }, "Environment": { "Environment - current issues": { "text": "areas of high air pollution from motor vehicles and industry; water pollution from agricultural runoff and disposal of untreated industrial waste and sewage; poor management of water resources; soil erosion; increasing levels of soil salinity" }, "Environment - international agreements": { "party to": { "text": "Biodiversity, Climate Change, Climate Change-Kyoto Protocol, Climate Change-Paris Agreement, Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban, Desertification, Endangered Species, Environmental Modification, Hazardous Wastes, Ozone Layer Protection, Ship Pollution, Wetlands" }, "signed, but not ratified": { "text": "none of the selected agreements" } }, "Climate": { "text": "mid-latitude continental, hot summers, mild winters; semiarid to polar in Pamir Mountains" }, "Land use": { "agricultural land": { "text": "34.7% (2018 est.)" }, "agricultural land: arable land": { "text": "arable land: 6.1% (2018 est.)" }, "agricultural land: permanent crops": { "text": "permanent crops: 0.9% (2018 est.)" }, "agricultural land: permanent pasture": { "text": "permanent pasture: 27.7% (2018 est.)" }, "forest": { "text": "2.9% (2018 est.)" }, "other": { "text": "62.4% (2018 est.)" } }, "Urbanization": { "urban population": { "text": "28.2% of total population (2023)" }, "rate of urbanization": { "text": "2.73% annual rate of change (2020-25 est.)" } }, "Revenue from forest resources": { "text": "1.12% of GDP (2018 est.)" }, "Revenue from coal": { "text": "0.54% of GDP (2018 est.)" }, "Air pollutants": { "particulate matter emissions": { "text": "53.65 micrograms per cubic meter (2019 est.)" }, "carbon dioxide emissions": { "text": "5.31 megatons (2016 est.)" }, "methane emissions": { "text": "4.87 megatons (2020 est.)" } }, "Waste and recycling": { "municipal solid waste generated annually": { "text": "1,787,400 tons (2013 est.)" } }, "Major rivers (by length in km)": { "text": "Syr Darya (shared with Kyrgyzstan [s], Uzbekistan, and Kazakhstan [m]) - 3,078 km; Amu Darya river source (shared with Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, and Uzbekistan [m]) - 2,620 kmTajikistan is a primary transit country along the “Northern Route” for Afghanistan-sourced opiates and cannabis for the Russian and Eastern European markets and beyond; minimal domestic recreational drug use though it is increasing
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