GPy/GPy/models/gp_multiout_regression_md.py
2017-11-23 10:55:43 +00:00

198 lines
11 KiB
Python

# Copyright (c) 2017 Zhenwen Dai
# Licensed under the BSD 3-clause license (see LICENSE.txt)
import numpy as np
from ..core import SparseGP
from .. import likelihoods
from .. import kern
from .. import util
from GPy.core.parameterization.variational import NormalPosterior, NormalPrior
from ..core.parameterization.param import Param
from paramz.transformations import Logexp
from ..util.linalg import tdot
from .sparse_gp_regression_md import SparseGPRegressionMD
class GPMultioutRegressionMD(SparseGP):
"""
Gaussian Process model for multi-output regression with missing data
This is an implementation of Latent Variable Multiple Output Gaussian Processes (LVMOGP) in [Dai et al. 2017]. This model targets at the use case, in which each output dimension is observed at a different set of inputs. The model takes a different data format: the inputs and outputs observations of all the output dimensions are stacked together correspondingly into two matrices. An extra array is used to indicate the index of output dimension for each data point. The output dimensions are indexed using integers from 0 to D-1 assuming there are D output dimensions.
Zhenwen Dai, Mauricio A. Alvarez and Neil D. Lawrence. Efficient Modeling of Latent Information in Supervised Learning using Gaussian Processes. In NIPS, 2017.
:param X: input observations. Numpy.ndarray
:param Y: output observations, each column corresponding to an output dimension. Numpy.ndarray
:param indexD: the array containing the index of output dimension for each data point
:param Xr_dim: the dimensionality of a latent space, in which output dimensions are embedded in
:param kernel: a GPy kernel for GP of individual output dimensions ** defaults to RBF **
:param kernel_row: a GPy kernel for the GP of the latent space ** defaults to RBF **
:param Z: inducing inputs
:param Z_row: inducing inputs for the latent space
:param X_row: the initial value of the mean of the variational posterior distribution of points in the latent space
:param Xvariance_row: the initial value of the variance of the variational posterior distribution of points in the latent space
:param num_inducing: a tuple (M, Mr). M is the number of inducing points for GP of individual output dimensions. Mr is the number of inducing points for the latent space.
:param qU_var_r_W_dim: the dimensionality of the covariance of q(U) for the latent space. If it is smaller than the number of inducing points, it represents a low-rank parameterization of the covariance matrix.
:param qU_var_c_W_dim: the dimensionality of the covariance of q(U) for the GP regression. If it is smaller than the number of inducing points, it represents a low-rank parameterization of the covariance matrix.
:param init: the choice of initialization: 'GP' or 'rand'. With 'rand', the model is initialized randomly. With 'GP', the model is initialized through a protocol as follows: (1) fits a sparse GP (2) fits a BGPLVM based on the outcome of sparse GP (3) initialize the model based on the outcome of the BGPLVM.
:param heter_noise: whether assuming heteroscedastic noise in the model, boolean
:param name: the name of the model
"""
def __init__(self, X, Y, indexD, Xr_dim, kernel=None, kernel_row=None, Z=None, Z_row=None, X_row=None, Xvariance_row=None, num_inducing=(10,10), qU_var_r_W_dim=None, qU_var_c_W_dim=None, init='GP', heter_noise=False, name='GPMRMD'):
assert len(Y.shape)==1 or Y.shape[1]==1
self.output_dim = int(np.max(indexD))+1
self.heter_noise = heter_noise
self.indexD = indexD
#Kernel
if kernel is None:
kernel = kern.RBF(X.shape[1])
if kernel_row is None:
kernel_row = kern.RBF(Xr_dim,name='kern_row')
if init=='GP':
from . import SparseGPRegression, BayesianGPLVM
from ..util.linalg import jitchol
Mc, Mr = num_inducing
print('Intializing with GP...')
print('Fit Sparse GP...')
m_sgp = SparseGPRegressionMD(X,Y,indexD,kernel=kernel.copy(),num_inducing=Mc)
m_sgp.likelihood.variance[:] = Y.var()*0.01
m_sgp.optimize(max_iters=1000)
print('Fit BGPLVM...')
m_lvm = BayesianGPLVM(m_sgp.posterior.mean.copy().T,Xr_dim,kernel=kernel_row.copy(), num_inducing=Mr)
m_lvm.likelihood.variance[:] = m_lvm.Y.var()*0.01
m_lvm.optimize(max_iters=10000)
kernel[:] = m_sgp.kern.param_array.copy()
kernel.variance[:] = np.sqrt(kernel.variance)
Z = m_sgp.Z.values.copy()
kernel_row[:] = m_lvm.kern.param_array.copy()
kernel_row.variance[:] = np.sqrt(kernel_row.variance)
Z_row = m_lvm.Z.values.copy()
X_row = m_lvm.X.mean.values.copy()
Xvariance_row = m_lvm.X.variance.values
qU_mean = m_lvm.posterior.mean.T.copy()
qU_var_col_W = jitchol(m_sgp.posterior.covariance)
qU_var_col_diag = np.full(Mc,1e-5)
qU_var_row_W = jitchol(m_lvm.posterior.covariance)
qU_var_row_diag = np.full(Mr,1e-5)
print('Done.')
else:
qU_mean = np.zeros(num_inducing)
qU_var_col_W = np.random.randn(num_inducing[0],num_inducing[0] if qU_var_c_W_dim is None else qU_var_c_W_dim)*0.01
qU_var_col_diag = np.full(num_inducing[0],1e-5)
qU_var_row_W = np.random.randn(num_inducing[1],num_inducing[1] if qU_var_r_W_dim is None else qU_var_r_W_dim)*0.01
qU_var_row_diag = np.full(num_inducing[1],1e-5)
if Z is None:
Z = X[np.random.permutation(X.shape[0])[:num_inducing[0]]].copy()
if X_row is None:
X_row = np.random.randn(self.output_dim,Xr_dim)
if Xvariance_row is None:
Xvariance_row = np.ones((self.output_dim,Xr_dim))*0.0001
if Z_row is None:
Z_row = X_row[np.random.permutation(X_row.shape[0])[:num_inducing[1]]].copy()
self.kern_row = kernel_row
self.X_row = NormalPosterior(X_row, Xvariance_row,name='Xr')
self.Z_row = Param('Zr', Z_row)
self.variational_prior_row = NormalPrior()
self.qU_mean = Param('qU_mean', qU_mean)
self.qU_var_c_W = Param('qU_var_col_W', qU_var_col_W)
self.qU_var_c_diag = Param('qU_var_col_diag', qU_var_col_diag, Logexp())
self.qU_var_r_W = Param('qU_var_row_W',qU_var_row_W)
self.qU_var_r_diag = Param('qU_var_row_diag', qU_var_row_diag, Logexp())
#Likelihood
if heter_noise:
likelihood = likelihoods.Gaussian(variance=np.array([np.var(Y[indexD==d]) for d in range(self.output_dim)])*0.01)
else:
likelihood = likelihoods.Gaussian(variance=np.var(Y)*0.01)
from ..inference.latent_function_inference.vardtc_svi_multiout_miss import VarDTC_SVI_Multiout_Miss
inference_method = VarDTC_SVI_Multiout_Miss()
super(GPMultioutRegressionMD,self).__init__(X, Y, Z, kernel, likelihood=likelihood,
name=name, inference_method=inference_method)
self.output_dim = int(np.max(indexD))+1
self.link_parameters(self.kern_row, self.X_row, self.Z_row,self.qU_mean, self.qU_var_c_W, self.qU_var_c_diag, self.qU_var_r_W, self.qU_var_r_diag)
self._log_marginal_likelihood = np.nan
def parameters_changed(self):
qU_var_c = tdot(self.qU_var_c_W) + np.diag(self.qU_var_c_diag)
qU_var_r = tdot(self.qU_var_r_W) + np.diag(self.qU_var_r_diag)
self.posterior, self._log_marginal_likelihood, self.grad_dict = self.inference_method.inference(self.kern_row, self.kern, self.X_row, self.X, self.Z_row, self.Z, self.likelihood, self.Y, self.qU_mean ,qU_var_r, qU_var_c, self.indexD, self.output_dim)
# import pdb;pdb.set_trace()
if self.heter_noise:
self.likelihood.update_gradients(self.grad_dict['dL_dthetaL'])
else:
self.likelihood.update_gradients(self.grad_dict['dL_dthetaL'].sum())
self.qU_mean.gradient[:] = self.grad_dict['dL_dqU_mean']
self.qU_var_c_diag.gradient[:] = np.diag(self.grad_dict['dL_dqU_var_c'])
self.qU_var_c_W.gradient[:] = (self.grad_dict['dL_dqU_var_c']+self.grad_dict['dL_dqU_var_c'].T).dot(self.qU_var_c_W)
self.qU_var_r_diag.gradient[:] = np.diag(self.grad_dict['dL_dqU_var_r'])
self.qU_var_r_W.gradient[:] = (self.grad_dict['dL_dqU_var_r']+self.grad_dict['dL_dqU_var_r'].T).dot(self.qU_var_r_W)
self.kern.update_gradients_diag(self.grad_dict['dL_dKdiag_c'], self.X)
kerngrad = self.kern.gradient.copy()
self.kern.update_gradients_full(self.grad_dict['dL_dKfu_c'], self.X, self.Z)
kerngrad += self.kern.gradient
self.kern.update_gradients_full(self.grad_dict['dL_dKuu_c'], self.Z, None)
self.kern.gradient += kerngrad
#gradients wrt Z
self.Z.gradient = self.kern.gradients_X(self.grad_dict['dL_dKuu_c'], self.Z)
self.Z.gradient += self.kern.gradients_X(self.grad_dict['dL_dKfu_c'].T, self.Z, self.X)
#gradients wrt kernel
self.kern_row.update_gradients_full(self.grad_dict['dL_dKuu_r'], self.Z_row, None)
kerngrad = self.kern_row.gradient.copy()
self.kern_row.update_gradients_expectations(variational_posterior=self.X_row,
Z=self.Z_row,
dL_dpsi0=self.grad_dict['dL_dpsi0_r'],
dL_dpsi1=self.grad_dict['dL_dpsi1_r'],
dL_dpsi2=self.grad_dict['dL_dpsi2_r'])
self.kern_row.gradient += kerngrad
#gradients wrt Z
self.Z_row.gradient = self.kern_row.gradients_X(self.grad_dict['dL_dKuu_r'], self.Z_row)
self.Z_row.gradient += self.kern_row.gradients_Z_expectations(
self.grad_dict['dL_dpsi0_r'],
self.grad_dict['dL_dpsi1_r'],
self.grad_dict['dL_dpsi2_r'],
Z=self.Z_row,
variational_posterior=self.X_row)
self._log_marginal_likelihood -= self.variational_prior_row.KL_divergence(self.X_row)
self.X_row.mean.gradient, self.X_row.variance.gradient = self.kern_row.gradients_qX_expectations(
variational_posterior=self.X_row,
Z=self.Z_row,
dL_dpsi0=self.grad_dict['dL_dpsi0_r'],
dL_dpsi1=self.grad_dict['dL_dpsi1_r'],
dL_dpsi2=self.grad_dict['dL_dpsi2_r'])
self.variational_prior_row.update_gradients_KL(self.X_row)
def optimize_auto(self,max_iters=10000,verbose=True):
"""
Optimize the model parameters through a pre-defined protocol.
:param max_iters: the maximum number of iterations.
:param verbose: print the progress of optimization or not.
"""
self.Z.fix(warning=False)
self.kern.fix(warning=False)
self.kern_row.fix(warning=False)
self.Zr.fix(warning=False)
self.Xr.fix(warning=False)
self.optimize(max_iters=int(0.1*max_iters),messages=verbose)
self.unfix()
self.optimize(max_iters=max_iters,messages=verbose)