GPy/GPy/models/GP.py
James Hensman 52ba8e4ba3 remo0ved slices from models
slices are now handles by special indexing kern parts, such as
coregionalisation, independent_outputs. The old slicing functionality
has been removed simply to clean up the code a little.

Now that input_slices still exist (and will continue to be useful) in
kern.py. They do need a little work though, for the psi-statistics
2013-04-28 17:22:04 +01:00

282 lines
12 KiB
Python

# Copyright (c) 2012, GPy authors (see AUTHORS.txt).
# Licensed under the BSD 3-clause license (see LICENSE.txt)
import numpy as np
import pylab as pb
from .. import kern
from ..core import model
from ..util.linalg import pdinv, mdot
from ..util.plot import gpplot, x_frame1D, x_frame2D, Tango
from ..likelihoods import EP
class GP(model):
"""
Gaussian Process model for regression and EP
:param X: input observations
:param kernel: a GPy kernel, defaults to rbf+white
:parm likelihood: a GPy likelihood
:param normalize_X: whether to normalize the input data before computing (predictions will be in original scales)
:type normalize_X: False|True
:rtype: model object
:param epsilon_ep: convergence criterion for the Expectation Propagation algorithm, defaults to 0.1
:param powerep: power-EP parameters [$\eta$,$\delta$], defaults to [1.,1.]
:type powerep: list
.. Note:: Multiple independent outputs are allowed using columns of Y
"""
def __init__(self, X, likelihood, kernel, normalize_X=False):
# parse arguments
self.X = X
assert len(self.X.shape) == 2
self.N, self.Q = self.X.shape
assert isinstance(kernel, kern.kern)
self.kern = kernel
# here's some simple normalization for the inputs
if normalize_X:
self._Xmean = X.mean(0)[None, :]
self._Xstd = X.std(0)[None, :]
self.X = (X.copy() - self._Xmean) / self._Xstd
if hasattr(self, 'Z'):
self.Z = (self.Z - self._Xmean) / self._Xstd
else:
self._Xmean = np.zeros((1, self.X.shape[1]))
self._Xstd = np.ones((1, self.X.shape[1]))
self.likelihood = likelihood
# assert self.X.shape[0] == self.likelihood.Y.shape[0]
# self.N, self.D = self.likelihood.Y.shape
assert self.X.shape[0] == self.likelihood.data.shape[0]
self.N, self.D = self.likelihood.data.shape
model.__init__(self)
def dL_dZ(self):
"""
TODO: one day we might like to learn Z by gradient methods?
"""
return np.zeros_like(self.Z)
def _set_params(self, p):
self.kern._set_params_transformed(p[:self.kern.Nparam_transformed()])
# self.likelihood._set_params(p[self.kern.Nparam:]) # test by Nicolas
self.likelihood._set_params(p[self.kern.Nparam_transformed():]) # test by Nicolas
self.K = self.kern.K(self.X)
self.K += self.likelihood.covariance_matrix
self.Ki, self.L, self.Li, self.K_logdet = pdinv(self.K)
# the gradient of the likelihood wrt the covariance matrix
if self.likelihood.YYT is None:
alpha = np.dot(self.Ki, self.likelihood.Y)
self.dL_dK = 0.5 * (np.dot(alpha, alpha.T) - self.D * self.Ki)
else:
tmp = mdot(self.Ki, self.likelihood.YYT, self.Ki)
self.dL_dK = 0.5 * (tmp - self.D * self.Ki)
def _get_params(self):
return np.hstack((self.kern._get_params_transformed(), self.likelihood._get_params()))
def _get_param_names(self):
return self.kern._get_param_names_transformed() + self.likelihood._get_param_names()
def update_likelihood_approximation(self):
"""
Approximates a non-gaussian likelihood using Expectation Propagation
For a Gaussian likelihood, no iteration is required:
this function does nothing
"""
self.likelihood.fit_full(self.kern.K(self.X))
self._set_params(self._get_params()) # update the GP
def _model_fit_term(self):
"""
Computes the model fit using YYT if it's available
"""
if self.likelihood.YYT is None:
return -0.5 * np.sum(np.square(np.dot(self.Li, self.likelihood.Y)))
else:
return -0.5 * np.sum(np.multiply(self.Ki, self.likelihood.YYT))
def log_likelihood(self):
"""
The log marginal likelihood of the GP.
For an EP model, can be written as the log likelihood of a regression
model for a new variable Y* = v_tilde/tau_tilde, with a covariance
matrix K* = K + diag(1./tau_tilde) plus a normalization term.
"""
return -0.5 * self.D * self.K_logdet + self._model_fit_term() + self.likelihood.Z
def _log_likelihood_gradients(self):
"""
The gradient of all parameters.
Note, we use the chain rule: dL_dtheta = dL_dK * d_K_dtheta
"""
return np.hstack((self.kern.dK_dtheta(dL_dK=self.dL_dK, X=self.X), self.likelihood._gradients(partial=np.diag(self.dL_dK))))
def _raw_predict(self, _Xnew, which_parts='all', full_cov=False):
"""
Internal helper function for making predictions, does not account
for normalization or likelihood
#TODO: which_parts does nothing
"""
Kx = self.kern.K(self.X, _Xnew,which_parts=which_parts)
mu = np.dot(np.dot(Kx.T, self.Ki), self.likelihood.Y)
KiKx = np.dot(self.Ki, Kx)
if full_cov:
Kxx = self.kern.K(_Xnew, which_parts=which_parts)
var = Kxx - np.dot(KiKx.T, Kx)
else:
Kxx = self.kern.Kdiag(_Xnew, which_parts=which_parts)
var = Kxx - np.sum(np.multiply(KiKx, Kx), 0)
var = var[:, None]
return mu, var
def predict(self, Xnew, which_parts='all', full_cov=False):
"""
Predict the function(s) at the new point(s) Xnew.
Arguments
---------
:param Xnew: The points at which to make a prediction
:type Xnew: np.ndarray, Nnew x self.Q
:param which_parts: specifies which outputs kernel(s) to use in prediction
:type which_parts: ('all', list of bools)
:param full_cov: whether to return the folll covariance matrix, or just the diagonal
:type full_cov: bool
:rtype: posterior mean, a Numpy array, Nnew x self.D
:rtype: posterior variance, a Numpy array, Nnew x 1 if full_cov=False, Nnew x Nnew otherwise
:rtype: lower and upper boundaries of the 95% confidence intervals, Numpy arrays, Nnew x self.D
If full_cov and self.D > 1, the return shape of var is Nnew x Nnew x self.D. If self.D == 1, the return shape is Nnew x Nnew.
This is to allow for different normalizations of the output dimensions.
"""
# normalize X values
Xnew = (Xnew.copy() - self._Xmean) / self._Xstd
mu, var = self._raw_predict(Xnew, which_parts, full_cov)
# now push through likelihood
mean, var, _025pm, _975pm = self.likelihood.predictive_values(mu, var, full_cov)
return mean, var, _025pm, _975pm
def plot_f(self, samples=0, plot_limits=None, which_data='all', which_parts='all', resolution=None, full_cov=False):
"""
Plot the GP's view of the world, where the data is normalized and the likelihood is Gaussian
:param samples: the number of a posteriori samples to plot
:param which_data: which if the training data to plot (default all)
:type which_data: 'all' or a slice object to slice self.X, self.Y
:param plot_limits: The limits of the plot. If 1D [xmin,xmax], if 2D [[xmin,ymin],[xmax,ymax]]. Defaluts to data limits
:param which_parts: which of the kernel functions to plot (additively)
:type which_parts: 'all', or list of bools
:param resolution: the number of intervals to sample the GP on. Defaults to 200 in 1D and 50 (a 50x50 grid) in 2D
Plot the posterior of the GP.
- In one dimension, the function is plotted with a shaded region identifying two standard deviations.
- In two dimsensions, a contour-plot shows the mean predicted function
- In higher dimensions, we've no implemented this yet !TODO!
Can plot only part of the data and part of the posterior functions using which_data and which_functions
Plot the data's view of the world, with non-normalized values and GP predictions passed through the likelihood
"""
if which_data == 'all':
which_data = slice(None)
if self.X.shape[1] == 1:
Xnew, xmin, xmax = x_frame1D(self.X, plot_limits=plot_limits)
if samples == 0:
m, v = self._raw_predict(Xnew, which_parts=which_parts)
gpplot(Xnew, m, m - 2 * np.sqrt(v), m + 2 * np.sqrt(v))
pb.plot(self.X[which_data], self.likelihood.Y[which_data], 'kx', mew=1.5)
else:
m, v = self._raw_predict(Xnew, which_parts=which_parts, full_cov=True)
Ysim = np.random.multivariate_normal(m.flatten(), v, samples)
gpplot(Xnew, m, m - 2 * np.sqrt(np.diag(v)[:, None]), m + 2 * np.sqrt(np.diag(v))[:, None])
for i in range(samples):
pb.plot(Xnew, Ysim[i, :], Tango.colorsHex['darkBlue'], linewidth=0.25)
pb.plot(self.X[which_data], self.likelihood.Y[which_data], 'kx', mew=1.5)
pb.xlim(xmin, xmax)
ymin, ymax = min(np.append(self.likelihood.Y, m - 2 * np.sqrt(np.diag(v)[:, None]))), max(np.append(self.likelihood.Y, m + 2 * np.sqrt(np.diag(v)[:, None])))
ymin, ymax = ymin - 0.1 * (ymax - ymin), ymax + 0.1 * (ymax - ymin)
pb.ylim(ymin, ymax)
if hasattr(self, 'Z'):
pb.plot(self.Z, self.Z * 0 + pb.ylim()[0], 'r|', mew=1.5, markersize=12)
elif self.X.shape[1] == 2:
resolution = resolution or 50
Xnew, xmin, xmax, xx, yy = x_frame2D(self.X, plot_limits, resolution)
m, v = self._raw_predict(Xnew, which_parts=which_parts)
m = m.reshape(resolution, resolution).T
pb.contour(xx, yy, m, vmin=m.min(), vmax=m.max(), cmap=pb.cm.jet)
pb.scatter(Xorig[:, 0], Xorig[:, 1], 40, Yorig, linewidth=0, cmap=pb.cm.jet, vmin=m.min(), vmax=m.max())
pb.xlim(xmin[0], xmax[0])
pb.ylim(xmin[1], xmax[1])
else:
raise NotImplementedError, "Cannot define a frame with more than two input dimensions"
def plot(self, samples=0, plot_limits=None, which_data='all', which_functions='all', resolution=None, levels=20):
"""
TODO: Docstrings!
:param levels: for 2D plotting, the number of contour levels to use
"""
# TODO include samples
if which_data == 'all':
which_data = slice(None)
if self.X.shape[1] == 1:
Xu = self.X * self._Xstd + self._Xmean # NOTE self.X are the normalized values now
Xnew, xmin, xmax = x_frame1D(Xu, plot_limits=plot_limits)
m, var, lower, upper = self.predict(Xnew, which_parts=which_parts)
gpplot(Xnew, m, lower, upper)
pb.plot(Xu[which_data], self.likelihood.data[which_data], 'kx', mew=1.5)
if self.has_uncertain_inputs:
pb.errorbar(Xu[which_data, 0], self.likelihood.data[which_data, 0],
xerr=2 * np.sqrt(self.X_variance[which_data, 0]),
ecolor='k', fmt=None, elinewidth=.5, alpha=.5)
ymin, ymax = min(np.append(self.likelihood.data, lower)), max(np.append(self.likelihood.data, upper))
ymin, ymax = ymin - 0.1 * (ymax - ymin), ymax + 0.1 * (ymax - ymin)
pb.xlim(xmin, xmax)
pb.ylim(ymin, ymax)
if hasattr(self, 'Z'):
Zu = self.Z * self._Xstd + self._Xmean
pb.plot(Zu, Zu * 0 + pb.ylim()[0], 'r|', mew=1.5, markersize=12)
# pb.errorbar(self.X[:,0], pb.ylim()[0]+np.zeros(self.N), xerr=2*np.sqrt(self.X_variance.flatten()))
elif self.X.shape[1] == 2: # FIXME
resolution = resolution or 50
Xnew, xx, yy, xmin, xmax = x_frame2D(self.X, plot_limits, resolution)
x, y = np.linspace(xmin[0], xmax[0], resolution), np.linspace(xmin[1], xmax[1], resolution)
m, var, lower, upper = self.predict(Xnew, which_parts=which_parts)
m = m.reshape(resolution, resolution).T
pb.contour(x, y, m, levels, vmin=m.min(), vmax=m.max(), cmap=pb.cm.jet)
Yf = self.likelihood.Y.flatten()
pb.scatter(self.X[:, 0], self.X[:, 1], 40, Yf, cmap=pb.cm.jet, vmin=m.min(), vmax=m.max(), linewidth=0.)
pb.xlim(xmin[0], xmax[0])
pb.ylim(xmin[1], xmax[1])
if hasattr(self, 'Z'):
pb.plot(self.Z[:, 0], self.Z[:, 1], 'wo')
else:
raise NotImplementedError, "Cannot define a frame with more than two input dimensions"