GPy/GPy/core/model.py
2013-09-20 17:46:23 +01:00

596 lines
25 KiB
Python

# Copyright (c) 2012, 2013, GPy authors (see AUTHORS.txt).
# Licensed under the BSD 3-clause license (see LICENSE.txt)
from .. import likelihoods
from ..inference import optimization
from ..util.linalg import jitchol
from GPy.util.misc import opt_wrapper
from parameterized import Parameterized
import multiprocessing as mp
import numpy as np
from GPy.core.domains import POSITIVE, REAL
from numpy.linalg.linalg import LinAlgError
# import numdifftools as ndt
class Model(Parameterized):
_fail_count = 0 # Count of failed optimization steps (see objective)
_allowed_failures = 10 # number of allowed failures
def __init__(self):
Parameterized.__init__(self)
self.priors = None
self.optimization_runs = []
self.sampling_runs = []
self.preferred_optimizer = 'scg'
# self._set_params(self._get_params()) has been taken out as it should only be called on leaf nodes
def log_likelihood(self):
raise NotImplementedError, "this needs to be implemented to use the model class"
def _log_likelihood_gradients(self):
raise NotImplementedError, "this needs to be implemented to use the model class"
def getstate(self):
"""
Get the current state of the class.
Inherited from Parameterized, so add those parameters to the state
:return: list of states from the model.
"""
return Parameterized.getstate(self) + \
[self.priors, self.optimization_runs,
self.sampling_runs, self.preferred_optimizer]
def setstate(self, state):
"""
set state from previous call to getstate
call Parameterized with the rest of the state
:param state: the state of the model.
:type state: list as returned from getstate.
"""
self.preferred_optimizer = state.pop()
self.sampling_runs = state.pop()
self.optimization_runs = state.pop()
self.priors = state.pop()
Parameterized.setstate(self, state)
def set_prior(self, regexp, what):
"""
Sets priors on the model parameters.
**Notes**
Asserts that the prior is suitable for the constraint. If the
wrong constraint is in place, an error is raised. If no
constraint is in place, one is added (warning printed).
For tied parameters, the prior will only be "counted" once, thus
a prior object is only inserted on the first tied index
:param regexp: regular expression of parameters on which priors need to be set.
:type param: string, regexp, or integer array
:param what: prior to set on parameter.
:type what: GPy.core.Prior type
"""
if self.priors is None:
self.priors = [None for i in range(self._get_params().size)]
which = self.grep_param_names(regexp)
# check tied situation
tie_partial_matches = [tie for tie in self.tied_indices if (not set(tie).isdisjoint(set(which))) & (not set(tie) == set(which))]
if len(tie_partial_matches):
raise ValueError, "cannot place prior across partial ties"
tie_matches = [tie for tie in self.tied_indices if set(which) == set(tie) ]
if len(tie_matches) > 1:
raise ValueError, "cannot place prior across multiple ties"
elif len(tie_matches) == 1:
which = which[:1] # just place a prior object on the first parameter
# check constraints are okay
if what.domain is POSITIVE:
constrained_positive_indices = [i for i, t in zip(self.constrained_indices, self.constraints) if t.domain is POSITIVE]
if len(constrained_positive_indices):
constrained_positive_indices = np.hstack(constrained_positive_indices)
else:
constrained_positive_indices = np.zeros(shape=(0,))
bad_constraints = np.setdiff1d(self.all_constrained_indices(), constrained_positive_indices)
assert not np.any(which[:, None] == bad_constraints), "constraint and prior incompatible"
unconst = np.setdiff1d(which, constrained_positive_indices)
if len(unconst):
print "Warning: constraining parameters to be positive:"
print '\n'.join([n for i, n in enumerate(self._get_param_names()) if i in unconst])
print '\n'
self.constrain_positive(unconst)
elif what.domain is REAL:
assert not np.any(which[:, None] == self.all_constrained_indices()), "constraint and prior incompatible"
else:
raise ValueError, "prior not recognised"
# store the prior in a local list
for w in which:
self.priors[w] = what
def get_gradient(self, name, return_names=False):
"""
Get model gradient(s) by name. The name is applied as a regular expression and all parameters that match that regular expression are returned.
:param name: the name of parameters required (as a regular expression).
:type name: regular expression
:param return_names: whether or not to return the names matched (default False)
:type return_names: bool
"""
matches = self.grep_param_names(name)
if len(matches):
if return_names:
return self._log_likelihood_gradients()[matches], np.asarray(self._get_param_names())[matches].tolist()
else:
return self._log_likelihood_gradients()[matches]
else:
raise AttributeError, "no parameter matches %s" % name
def log_prior(self):
"""evaluate the prior"""
if self.priors is not None:
return np.sum([p.lnpdf(x) for p, x in zip(self.priors, self._get_params()) if p is not None])
else:
return 0.
def _log_prior_gradients(self):
"""evaluate the gradients of the priors"""
if self.priors is None:
return 0.
x = self._get_params()
ret = np.zeros(x.size)
[np.put(ret, i, p.lnpdf_grad(xx)) for i, (p, xx) in enumerate(zip(self.priors, x)) if not p is None]
return ret
def _transform_gradients(self, g):
x = self._get_params()
for index, constraint in zip(self.constrained_indices, self.constraints):
g[index] = g[index] * constraint.gradfactor(x[index])
[np.put(g, i, v) for i, v in [(t[0], np.sum(g[t])) for t in self.tied_indices]]
if len(self.tied_indices) or len(self.fixed_indices):
to_remove = np.hstack((self.fixed_indices + [t[1:] for t in self.tied_indices]))
return np.delete(g, to_remove)
else:
return g
def randomize(self):
"""
Randomize the model.
Make this draw from the prior if one exists, else draw from N(0,1)
"""
# first take care of all parameters (from N(0,1))
x = self._get_params_transformed()
x = np.random.randn(x.size)
self._set_params_transformed(x)
# now draw from prior where possible
x = self._get_params()
if self.priors is not None:
[np.put(x, i, p.rvs(1)) for i, p in enumerate(self.priors) if not p is None]
self._set_params(x)
self._set_params_transformed(self._get_params_transformed()) # makes sure all of the tied parameters get the same init (since there's only one prior object...)
def optimize_restarts(self, num_restarts=10, robust=False, verbose=True, parallel=False, num_processes=None, **kwargs):
"""
Perform random restarts of the model, and set the model to the best
seen solution.
If the robust flag is set, exceptions raised during optimizations will
be handled silently. If _all_ runs fail, the model is reset to the
existing parameter values.
**Notes**
:param num_restarts: number of restarts to use (default 10)
:type num_restarts: int
:param robust: whether to handle exceptions silently or not (default False)
:type robust: bool
:param parallel: whether to run each restart as a separate process. It relies on the multiprocessing module.
:type parallel: bool
:param num_processes: number of workers in the multiprocessing pool
:type numprocesses: int
\*\*kwargs are passed to the optimizer. They can be:
:param max_f_eval: maximum number of function evaluations
:type max_f_eval: int
:param max_iters: maximum number of iterations
:type max_iters: int
:param messages: whether to display during optimisation
:type messages: bool
.. note:: If num_processes is None, the number of workes in the multiprocessing pool is automatically set to the number of processors on the current machine.
"""
initial_parameters = self._get_params_transformed()
if parallel:
try:
jobs = []
pool = mp.Pool(processes=num_processes)
for i in range(num_restarts):
self.randomize()
job = pool.apply_async(opt_wrapper, args=(self,), kwds=kwargs)
jobs.append(job)
pool.close() # signal that no more data coming in
pool.join() # wait for all the tasks to complete
except KeyboardInterrupt:
print "Ctrl+c received, terminating and joining pool."
pool.terminate()
pool.join()
for i in range(num_restarts):
try:
if not parallel:
self.randomize()
self.optimize(**kwargs)
else:
self.optimization_runs.append(jobs[i].get())
if verbose:
print("Optimization restart {0}/{1}, f = {2}".format(i + 1, num_restarts, self.optimization_runs[-1].f_opt))
except Exception as e:
if robust:
print("Warning - optimization restart {0}/{1} failed".format(i + 1, num_restarts))
else:
raise e
if len(self.optimization_runs):
i = np.argmin([o.f_opt for o in self.optimization_runs])
self._set_params_transformed(self.optimization_runs[i].x_opt)
else:
self._set_params_transformed(initial_parameters)
def ensure_default_constraints(self):
"""
Ensure that any variables which should clearly be positive
have been constrained somehow. The method performs a regular
expression search on parameter names looking for the terms
'variance', 'lengthscale', 'precision' and 'kappa'. If any of
these terms are present in the name the parameter is
constrained positive.
"""
positive_strings = ['variance', 'lengthscale', 'precision', 'kappa']
# param_names = self._get_param_names()
currently_constrained = self.all_constrained_indices()
to_make_positive = []
for s in positive_strings:
for i in self.grep_param_names(".*" + s):
if not (i in currently_constrained):
to_make_positive.append(i)
if len(to_make_positive):
self.constrain_positive(np.asarray(to_make_positive))
def objective_function(self, x):
"""
The objective function passed to the optimizer. It combines
the likelihood and the priors.
Failures are handled robustly. The algorithm will try several times to
return the objective, and will raise the original exception if it
the objective cannot be computed.
:param x: the parameters of the model.
:parameter type: np.array
"""
try:
self._set_params_transformed(x)
self._fail_count = 0
except (LinAlgError, ZeroDivisionError, ValueError) as e:
if self._fail_count >= self._allowed_failures:
raise e
self._fail_count += 1
return np.inf
return -self.log_likelihood() - self.log_prior()
def objective_function_gradients(self, x):
"""
Gets the gradients from the likelihood and the priors.
Failures are handled robustly. The algorithm will try several times to
return the gradients, and will raise the original exception if it
the objective cannot be computed.
:param x: the parameters of the model.
:parameter type: np.array
"""
try:
self._set_params_transformed(x)
obj_grads = -self._transform_gradients(self._log_likelihood_gradients() + self._log_prior_gradients())
self._fail_count = 0
except (LinAlgError, ZeroDivisionError, ValueError) as e:
if self._fail_count >= self._allowed_failures:
raise e
self._fail_count += 1
obj_grads = np.clip(-self._transform_gradients(self._log_likelihood_gradients() + self._log_prior_gradients()), -1e100, 1e100)
return obj_grads
def objective_and_gradients(self, x):
"""
Compute the objective function of the model and the gradient of the model at the point given by x.
:param x: the point at which gradients are to be computed.
:type np.array:
"""
try:
self._set_params_transformed(x)
obj_f = -self.log_likelihood() - self.log_prior()
self._fail_count = 0
obj_grads = -self._transform_gradients(self._log_likelihood_gradients() + self._log_prior_gradients())
except (LinAlgError, ZeroDivisionError, ValueError) as e:
if self._fail_count >= self._allowed_failures:
raise e
self._fail_count += 1
obj_f = np.inf
obj_grads = np.clip(-self._transform_gradients(self._log_likelihood_gradients() + self._log_prior_gradients()), -1e100, 1e100)
return obj_f, obj_grads
def optimize(self, optimizer=None, start=None, **kwargs):
"""
Optimize the model using self.log_likelihood and self.log_likelihood_gradient, as well as self.priors.
kwargs are passed to the optimizer. They can be:
:param max_f_eval: maximum number of function evaluations
:type max_f_eval: int
:messages: whether to display during optimisation
:type messages: bool
:param optimzer: which optimizer to use (defaults to self.preferred optimizer)
:type optimzer: string TODO: valid strings?
"""
if optimizer is None:
optimizer = self.preferred_optimizer
if start == None:
start = self._get_params_transformed()
optimizer = optimization.get_optimizer(optimizer)
opt = optimizer(start, model=self, **kwargs)
opt.run(f_fp=self.objective_and_gradients, f=self.objective_function, fp=self.objective_function_gradients)
self.optimization_runs.append(opt)
self._set_params_transformed(opt.x_opt)
def optimize_SGD(self, momentum=0.1, learning_rate=0.01, iterations=20, **kwargs):
# assert self.Y.shape[1] > 1, "SGD only works with D > 1"
sgd = SGD.StochasticGD(self, iterations, learning_rate, momentum, **kwargs) # @UndefinedVariable
sgd.run()
self.optimization_runs.append(sgd)
def Laplace_covariance(self):
"""return the covariance matrix of a Laplace approximation at the current (stationary) point."""
# TODO add in the prior contributions for MAP estimation
# TODO fix the hessian for tied, constrained and fixed components
if hasattr(self, 'log_likelihood_hessian'):
A = -self.log_likelihood_hessian()
else:
print "numerically calculating Hessian. please be patient!"
x = self._get_params()
def f(x):
self._set_params(x)
return self.log_likelihood()
h = ndt.Hessian(f) # @UndefinedVariable
A = -h(x)
self._set_params(x)
# check for almost zero components on the diagonal which screw up the cholesky
aa = np.nonzero((np.diag(A) < 1e-6) & (np.diag(A) > 0.))[0]
A[aa, aa] = 0.
return A
def Laplace_evidence(self):
"""Returns an estiamte of the model evidence based on the Laplace approximation.
Uses a numerical estimate of the Hessian if none is available analytically."""
A = self.Laplace_covariance()
try:
hld = np.sum(np.log(np.diag(jitchol(A)[0])))
except:
return np.nan
return 0.5 * self._get_params().size * np.log(2 * np.pi) + self.log_likelihood() - hld
def __str__(self):
s = Parameterized.__str__(self).split('\n')
#def __str__(self, names=None):
# if names is None:
# names = self._get_print_names()
#s = Parameterized.__str__(self, names=names).split('\n')
# add priors to the string
if self.priors is not None:
strs = [str(p) if p is not None else '' for p in self.priors]
else:
strs = [''] * len(self._get_params())
# strs = [''] * len(self._get_param_names())
# name_indices = self.grep_param_names("|".join(names))
# strs = np.array(strs)[name_indices]
width = np.array(max([len(p) for p in strs] + [5])) + 4
log_like = self.log_likelihood()
log_prior = self.log_prior()
obj_funct = '\nLog-likelihood: {0:.3e}'.format(log_like)
if len(''.join(strs)) != 0:
obj_funct += ', Log prior: {0:.3e}, LL+prior = {0:.3e}'.format(log_prior, log_like + log_prior)
obj_funct += '\n\n'
s[0] = obj_funct + s[0]
s[0] += "|{h:^{col}}".format(h='prior', col=width)
s[1] += '-' * (width + 1)
for p in range(2, len(strs) + 2):
s[p] += '|{prior:^{width}}'.format(prior=strs[p - 2], width=width)
return '\n'.join(s)
def checkgrad(self, target_param=None, verbose=False, step=1e-6, tolerance=1e-3):
"""
Check the gradient of the ,odel by comparing to a numerical
estimate. If the verbose flag is passed, invividual
components are tested (and printed)
:param verbose: If True, print a "full" checking of each parameter
:type verbose: bool
:param step: The size of the step around which to linearise the objective
:type step: float (default 1e-6)
:param tolerance: the tolerance allowed (see note)
:type tolerance: float (default 1e-3)
Note:-
The gradient is considered correct if the ratio of the analytical
and numerical gradients is within <tolerance> of unity.
"""
x = self._get_params_transformed().copy()
if not verbose:
# just check the global ratio
dx = step * np.sign(np.random.uniform(-1, 1, x.size))
# evaulate around the point x
f1, g1 = self.objective_and_gradients(x + dx)
f2, g2 = self.objective_and_gradients(x - dx)
gradient = self.objective_function_gradients(x)
numerical_gradient = (f1 - f2) / (2 * dx)
global_ratio = (f1 - f2) / (2 * np.dot(dx, np.where(gradient==0, 1e-32, gradient)))
return (np.abs(1. - global_ratio) < tolerance) or (np.abs(gradient - numerical_gradient).mean() < tolerance)
else:
# check the gradient of each parameter individually, and do some pretty printing
try:
names = self._get_param_names_transformed()
except NotImplementedError:
names = ['Variable %i' % i for i in range(len(x))]
# Prepare for pretty-printing
header = ['Name', 'Ratio', 'Difference', 'Analytical', 'Numerical']
max_names = max([len(names[i]) for i in range(len(names))] + [len(header[0])])
float_len = 10
cols = [max_names]
cols.extend([max(float_len, len(header[i])) for i in range(1, len(header))])
cols = np.array(cols) + 5
header_string = ["{h:^{col}}".format(h=header[i], col=cols[i]) for i in range(len(cols))]
header_string = map(lambda x: '|'.join(x), [header_string])
separator = '-' * len(header_string[0])
print '\n'.join([header_string[0], separator])
if target_param is None:
param_list = range(len(x))
else:
param_list = self.grep_param_names(target_param, transformed=True, search=True)
if not np.any(param_list):
print "No free parameters to check"
return
for i in param_list:
xx = x.copy()
xx[i] += step
f1, g1 = self.objective_and_gradients(xx)
xx[i] -= 2.*step
f2, g2 = self.objective_and_gradients(xx)
gradient = self.objective_function_gradients(x)[i]
numerical_gradient = (f1 - f2) / (2 * step)
ratio = (f1 - f2) / (2 * step * np.where(gradient==0, 1e-312, gradient))
difference = np.abs((f1 - f2) / 2 / step - gradient)
if (np.abs(1. - ratio) < tolerance) or np.abs(difference) < tolerance:
formatted_name = "\033[92m {0} \033[0m".format(names[i])
else:
formatted_name = "\033[91m {0} \033[0m".format(names[i])
r = '%.6f' % float(ratio)
d = '%.6f' % float(difference)
g = '%.6f' % gradient
ng = '%.6f' % float(numerical_gradient)
grad_string = "{0:^{c0}}|{1:^{c1}}|{2:^{c2}}|{3:^{c3}}|{4:^{c4}}".format(formatted_name, r, d, g, ng, c0=cols[0] + 9, c1=cols[1], c2=cols[2], c3=cols[3], c4=cols[4])
print grad_string
def input_sensitivity(self):
"""
return an array describing the sesitivity of the model to each input
NB. Right now, we're basing this on the lengthscales (or
variances) of the kernel. TODO: proper sensitivity analysis
where we integrate across the model inputs and evaluate the
effect on the variance of the model output. """
if not hasattr(self, 'kern'):
raise ValueError, "this model has no kernel"
k = [p for p in self.kern.parts if p.name in ['rbf', 'linear', 'rbf_inv']]
if (not len(k) == 1) or (not k[0].ARD):
raise ValueError, "cannot determine sensitivity for this kernel"
k = k[0]
if k.name == 'rbf':
return 1. / k.lengthscale
elif k.name == 'rbf_inv':
return k.inv_lengthscale
elif k.name == 'linear':
return k.variances
def pseudo_EM(self, stop_crit=.1, **kwargs):
"""
EM - like algorithm for Expectation Propagation and Laplace approximation
:param stop_crit: convergence criterion
:type stop_crit: float
.. Note: kwargs are passed to update_likelihood and optimize functions.
"""
assert isinstance(self.likelihood, likelihoods.EP) or isinstance(self.likelihood, likelihoods.EP_Mixed_Noise), "pseudo_EM is only available for EP likelihoods"
ll_change = stop_crit + 1.
iteration = 0
last_ll = -np.inf
convergence = False
alpha = 0
stop = False
#Handle **kwargs
ep_args = {}
for arg in kwargs.keys():
if arg in ('epsilon','power_ep'):
ep_args[arg] = kwargs[arg]
del kwargs[arg]
while not stop:
last_approximation = self.likelihood.copy()
last_params = self._get_params()
if len(ep_args) == 2:
self.update_likelihood_approximation(epsilon=ep_args['epsilon'],power_ep=ep_args['power_ep'])
elif len(ep_args) == 1:
if ep_args.keys()[0] == 'epsilon':
self.update_likelihood_approximation(epsilon=ep_args['epsilon'])
elif ep_args.keys()[0] == 'power_ep':
self.update_likelihood_approximation(power_ep=ep_args['power_ep'])
else:
self.update_likelihood_approximation()
new_ll = self.log_likelihood()
ll_change = new_ll - last_ll
if ll_change < 0:
self.likelihood = last_approximation # restore previous likelihood approximation
self._set_params(last_params) # restore model parameters
print "Log-likelihood decrement: %s \nLast likelihood update discarded." % ll_change
stop = True
else:
self.optimize(**kwargs)
last_ll = self.log_likelihood()
if ll_change < stop_crit:
stop = True
iteration += 1
if stop:
print "%s iterations." % iteration
self.update_likelihood_approximation()