GPy/GPy/models/GP.py
2013-02-04 12:01:27 +00:00

248 lines
11 KiB
Python

# Copyright (c) 2012, GPy authors (see AUTHORS.txt).
# Licensed under the BSD 3-clause license (see LICENSE.txt)
import numpy as np
import pylab as pb
from .. import kern
from ..core import model
from ..util.linalg import pdinv,mdot
from ..util.plot import gpplot,x_frame1D,x_frame2D, Tango
from ..likelihoods import EP
class GP(model):
"""
Gaussian Process model for regression and EP
:param X: input observations
:param kernel: a GPy kernel, defaults to rbf+white
:parm likelihood: a GPy likelihood
:param normalize_X: whether to normalize the input data before computing (predictions will be in original scales)
:type normalize_X: False|True
:param normalize_Y: whether to normalize the input data before computing (predictions will be in original scales)
:type normalize_Y: False|True
:param Xslices: how the X,Y data co-vary in the kernel (i.e. which "outputs" they correspond to). See (link:slicing)
:rtype: model object
:param epsilon_ep: convergence criterion for the Expectation Propagation algorithm, defaults to 0.1
:param powerep: power-EP parameters [$\eta$,$\delta$], defaults to [1.,1.]
:type powerep: list
.. Note:: Multiple independent outputs are allowed using columns of Y
"""
def __init__(self, X, likelihood, kernel, normalize_X=False, Xslices=None):
# parse arguments
self.Xslices = Xslices
self.X = X
assert len(self.X.shape)==2
self.N, self.Q = self.X.shape
assert isinstance(kernel, kern.kern)
self.kern = kernel
#here's some simple normalisation for the inputs
if normalize_X:
self._Xmean = X.mean(0)[None,:]
self._Xstd = X.std(0)[None,:]
self.X = (X.copy() - self._Xmean) / self._Xstd
if hasattr(self,'Z'):
self.Z = (self.Z - self._Xmean) / self._Xstd
else:
self._Xmean = np.zeros((1,self.X.shape[1]))
self._Xstd = np.ones((1,self.X.shape[1]))
self.likelihood = likelihood
#assert self.X.shape[0] == self.likelihood.Y.shape[0]
#self.N, self.D = self.likelihood.Y.shape
assert self.X.shape[0] == self.likelihood.data.shape[0]
self.N, self.D = self.likelihood.data.shape
model.__init__(self)
def _set_params(self,p):
self.kern._set_params_transformed(p[:self.kern.Nparam])
self.likelihood._set_params(p[self.kern.Nparam:])
self.K = self.kern.K(self.X,slices1=self.Xslices)
self.K += self.likelihood.covariance_matrix
self.Ki, self.L, self.Li, self.K_logdet = pdinv(self.K)
#the gradient of the likelihood wrt the covariance matrix
if self.likelihood.YYT is None:
alpha = np.dot(self.Ki,self.likelihood.Y)
self.dL_dK = 0.5*(np.dot(alpha,alpha.T)-self.D*self.Ki)
else:
tmp = mdot(self.Ki, self.likelihood.YYT, self.Ki)
self.dL_dK = 0.5*(tmp - self.D*self.Ki)
def _get_params(self):
return np.hstack((self.kern._get_params_transformed(), self.likelihood._get_params()))
def _get_param_names(self):
return self.kern._get_param_names_transformed() + self.likelihood._get_param_names()
def update_likelihood_approximation(self):
"""
Approximates a non-gaussian likelihood using Expectation Propagation
For a Gaussian (or direct: TODO) likelihood, no iteration is required:
this function does nothing
"""
self.likelihood.fit_full(self.kern.K(self.X))
self._set_params(self._get_params()) # update the GP
def _model_fit_term(self):
"""
Computes the model fit using YYT if it's available
"""
if self.likelihood.YYT is None:
return -0.5*np.sum(np.square(np.dot(self.Li,self.likelihood.Y)))
else:
return -0.5*np.sum(np.multiply(self.Ki, self.likelihood.YYT))
def log_likelihood(self):
"""
The log marginal likelihood of the GP.
For an EP model, can be written as the log likelihood of a regression
model for a new variable Y* = v_tilde/tau_tilde, with a covariance
matrix K* = K + diag(1./tau_tilde) plus a normalization term.
"""
return -0.5*self.D*self.K_logdet + self._model_fit_term() + self.likelihood.Z
def _log_likelihood_gradients(self):
"""
The gradient of all parameters.
For the kernel parameters, use the chain rule via dL_dK
For the likelihood parameters, pass in alpha = K^-1 y
"""
return np.hstack((self.kern.dK_dtheta(partial=self.dL_dK,X=self.X), self.likelihood._gradients(partial=np.diag(self.dL_dK))))
def _raw_predict(self,_Xnew,slices=None, full_cov=False):
"""
Internal helper function for making predictions, does not account
for normalisation or likelihood
"""
Kx = self.kern.K(self.X,_Xnew, slices1=self.Xslices,slices2=slices)
mu = np.dot(np.dot(Kx.T,self.Ki),self.likelihood.Y)
KiKx = np.dot(self.Ki,Kx)
if full_cov:
Kxx = self.kern.K(_Xnew, slices1=slices,slices2=slices)
var = Kxx - np.dot(KiKx.T,Kx) #NOTE this won't work for plotting
else:
Kxx = self.kern.Kdiag(_Xnew, slices=slices)
var = Kxx - np.sum(np.multiply(KiKx,Kx),0)
return mu, var[:,None]
def predict(self,Xnew, slices=None, full_cov=False):
"""
Predict the function(s) at the new point(s) Xnew.
Arguments
---------
:param Xnew: The points at which to make a prediction
:type Xnew: np.ndarray, Nnew x self.Q
:param slices: specifies which outputs kernel(s) the Xnew correspond to (see below)
:type slices: (None, list of slice objects, list of ints)
:param full_cov: whether to return the folll covariance matrix, or just the diagonal
:type full_cov: bool
:rtype: posterior mean, a Numpy array, Nnew x self.D
:rtype: posterior variance, a Numpy array, Nnew x Nnew x (self.D)
.. Note:: "slices" specifies how the the points X_new co-vary wich the training points.
- If None, the new points covary throigh every kernel part (default)
- If a list of slices, the i^th slice specifies which data are affected by the i^th kernel part
- If a list of booleans, specifying which kernel parts are active
If full_cov and self.D > 1, the return shape of var is Nnew x Nnew x self.D. If self.D == 1, the return shape is Nnew x Nnew.
This is to allow for different normalisations of the output dimensions.
"""
#normalise X values
Xnew = (Xnew.copy() - self._Xmean) / self._Xstd
mu, var = self._raw_predict(Xnew, slices, full_cov=full_cov)
#now push through likelihood TODO
mean, _5pc, _95pc = self.likelihood.predictive_values(mu, var)
return mean, _5pc, _95pc
def plot_internal(self,samples=0,plot_limits=None,which_data='all',which_functions='all',resolution=None,full_cov=False):
"""
Plot the GP's view of the world, where the data is normalised and the likelihood is Gaussian
:param samples: the number of a posteriori samples to plot
:param which_data: which if the training data to plot (default all)
:type which_data: 'all' or a slice object to slice self.X, self.Y
:param plot_limits: The limits of the plot. If 1D [xmin,xmax], if 2D [[xmin,ymin],[xmax,ymax]]. Defaluts to data limits
:param which_functions: which of the kernel functions to plot (additively)
:type which_functions: list of bools
:param resolution: the number of intervals to sample the GP on. Defaults to 200 in 1D and 50 (a 50x50 grid) in 2D
Plot the posterior of the GP.
- In one dimension, the function is plotted with a shaded region identifying two standard deviations.
- In two dimsensions, a contour-plot shows the mean predicted function
- In higher dimensions, we've no implemented this yet !TODO!
Can plot only part of the data and part of the posterior functions using which_data and which_functions
Plot the data's view of the world, with non-normalised values and GP predictions passed through the likelihood
"""
if which_functions=='all':
which_functions = [True]*self.kern.Nparts
if which_data=='all':
which_data = slice(None)
if self.X.shape[1] == 1:
Xnew, xmin, xmax = x_frame1D(self.X, plot_limits=plot_limits)
m,v = self._raw_predict(Xnew, slices=which_functions)
gpplot(Xnew,m,m-np.sqrt(v),m+np.sqrt(v))
pb.plot(self.X[which_data],self.likelihood.Y[which_data],'kx',mew=1.5)
pb.xlim(xmin,xmax)
elif X.shape[1]==2:
resolution = resolution or 50
Xnew, xmin, xmax,xx,yy = x_frame2D(self.X, plot_limits=plot_limits)
m,v = self._raw_predict(Xnew, slices=which_functions)
m = m.reshape(resolution,resolution)
pb.contour(xx,yy,zz,vmin=zz.min(),vmax=zz.max(),cmap=pb.cm.jet)
pb.scatter(Xorig[:,0],Xorig[:,1],40,Yorig,linewidth=0,cmap=pb.cm.jet,vmin=zz.min(),vmax=zz.max())
pb.xlim(xmin[0],xmax[0])
pb.ylim(xmin[1],xmax[1])
else:
raise NotImplementedError, "Cannot define a frame with more than two input dimensions"
def plot(self,samples=0,plot_limits=None,which_data='all',which_functions='all',resolution=None,full_cov=False):
if which_functions=='all':
which_functions = [True]*self.kern.Nparts
if which_data=='all':
which_data = slice(None)
if self.X.shape[1] == 1:
Xnew, xmin, xmax = x_frame1D(self.X, plot_limits=plot_limits)
m, lower, upper = self.predict(Xnew, slices=which_functions)
gpplot(Xnew,m, lower, upper)
pb.plot(self.X[which_data],self.likelihood.data[which_data],'kx',mew=1.5)
ymin,ymax = self.likelihood.data.min()*1.2,self.likelihood.data.max()*1.2
pb.xlim(xmin,xmax)
pb.ylim(ymin,ymax)
elif X.shape[1]==2:
resolution = resolution or 50
Xnew, xmin, xmax,xx,yy = x_frame2D(self.X, plot_limits=plot_limits)
m,v = self.predict(Xnew, slices=which_functions)
m = m.reshape(resolution,resolution)
pb.contour(xx,yy,zz,vmin=zz.min(),vmax=zz.max(),cmap=pb.cm.jet)
pb.scatter(Xorig[:,0],Xorig[:,1],40,Yorig,linewidth=0,cmap=pb.cm.jet,vmin=zz.min(),vmax=zz.max())
pb.xlim(xmin[0],xmax[0])
pb.ylim(xmin[1],xmax[1])
else:
raise NotImplementedError, "Cannot define a frame with more than two input dimensions"