Added binomial likelihood

Also some changes to pass through Y_metadata, where it had previously
been (errorneously) omitted.
This commit is contained in:
James Hensman 2015-03-05 10:26:02 +00:00
parent 89b8b0d298
commit 48821a6b73
5 changed files with 133 additions and 14 deletions

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@ -6,3 +6,4 @@ from poisson import Poisson
from student_t import StudentT
from likelihood import Likelihood
from mixed_noise import MixedNoise
from binomial import Binomial

125
GPy/likelihoods/binomial.py Normal file
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@ -0,0 +1,125 @@
# Copyright (c) 2012-2014 The GPy authors (see AUTHORS.txt)
# Licensed under the BSD 3-clause license (see LICENSE.txt)
import numpy as np
from ..util.univariate_Gaussian import std_norm_pdf, std_norm_cdf
import link_functions
from likelihood import Likelihood
from scipy import special
class Binomial(Likelihood):
"""
Binomial likelihood
.. math::
p(y_{i}|\\lambda(f_{i})) = \\lambda(f_{i})^{y_{i}}(1-f_{i})^{1-y_{i}}
.. Note::
Y takes values in either {-1, 1} or {0, 1}.
link function should have the domain [0, 1], e.g. probit (default) or Heaviside
.. See also::
likelihood.py, for the parent class
"""
def __init__(self, gp_link=None):
if gp_link is None:
gp_link = link_functions.Probit()
super(Binomial, self).__init__(gp_link, 'Binomial')
def conditional_mean(self, gp, Y_metadata):
return self.gp_link(gp)*Y_metadata['trials']
def pdf_link(self, inv_link_f, y, Y_metadata):
"""
Likelihood function given inverse link of f.
.. math::
p(y_{i}|\\lambda(f_{i})) = \\lambda(f_{i})^{y_{i}}(1-f_{i})^{1-y_{i}}
:param inv_link_f: latent variables inverse link of f.
:type inv_link_f: Nx1 array
:param y: data
:type y: Nx1 array
:param Y_metadata: Y_metadata must contain 'trials'
:returns: likelihood evaluated for this point
:rtype: float
.. Note:
Each y_i must be in {0, 1}
"""
return np.exp(self.logpdf_link(inv_link_f, y, Y_metadata))
def logpdf_link(self, inv_link_f, y, Y_metadata=None):
"""
Log Likelihood function given inverse link of f.
.. math::
\\ln p(y_{i}|\\lambda(f_{i})) = y_{i}\\log\\lambda(f_{i}) + (1-y_{i})\\log (1-f_{i})
:param inv_link_f: latent variables inverse link of f.
:type inv_link_f: Nx1 array
:param y: data
:type y: Nx1 array
:param Y_metadata: Y_metadata must contain 'trials'
:returns: log likelihood evaluated at points inverse link of f.
:rtype: float
"""
N = Y_metadata['trials']
nchoosey = special.gammaln(N+1) - special.gammaln(y+1) - special.gammaln(N-y+1)
return nchoosey + y*np.log(inv_link_f) + (N-y)*np.log(1.-inv_link_f)
def dlogpdf_dlink(self, inv_link_f, y, Y_metadata=None):
"""
Gradient of the pdf at y, given inverse link of f w.r.t inverse link of f.
:param inv_link_f: latent variables inverse link of f.
:type inv_link_f: Nx1 array
:param y: data
:type y: Nx1 array
:param Y_metadata: Y_metadata must contain 'trials'
:returns: gradient of log likelihood evaluated at points inverse link of f.
:rtype: Nx1 array
"""
N = Y_metadata['trials']
return y/inv_link_f - (N-y)/(1-inv_link_f)
def d2logpdf_dlink2(self, inv_link_f, y, Y_metadata=None):
"""
Hessian at y, given inv_link_f, w.r.t inv_link_f the hessian will be 0 unless i == j
i.e. second derivative logpdf at y given inverse link of f_i and inverse link of f_j w.r.t inverse link of f_i and inverse link of f_j.
.. math::
\\frac{d^{2}\\ln p(y_{i}|\\lambda(f_{i}))}{d\\lambda(f)^{2}} = \\frac{-y_{i}}{\\lambda(f)^{2}} - \\frac{(1-y_{i})}{(1-\\lambda(f))^{2}}
:param inv_link_f: latent variables inverse link of f.
:type inv_link_f: Nx1 array
:param y: data
:type y: Nx1 array
:param Y_metadata: Y_metadata not used in binomial
:returns: Diagonal of log hessian matrix (second derivative of log likelihood evaluated at points inverse link of f.
:rtype: Nx1 array
.. Note::
Will return diagonal of hessian, since every where else it is 0, as the likelihood factorizes over cases
(the distribution for y_i depends only on inverse link of f_i not on inverse link of f_(j!=i)
"""
N = Y_metadata['trials']
return -y/np.square(inv_link_f) - (N-y)/np.square(1-inv_link_f)
def samples(self, gp, Y_metadata=None):
"""
Returns a set of samples of observations based on a given value of the latent variable.
:param gp: latent variable
"""
orig_shape = gp.shape
gp = gp.flatten()
N = Y_metadata['trials']
Ysim = np.random.binomial(N, self.gp_link.transf(gp))
return Ysim.reshape(orig_shape)
def exact_inference_gradients(self, dL_dKdiag,Y_metadata=None):
pass

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@ -131,7 +131,7 @@ class Likelihood(Parameterized):
return z, mean, variance
def variational_expectations(self, Y, m, v, gh_points=None):
def variational_expectations(self, Y, m, v, gh_points=None, Y_metadata=None):
"""
Use Gauss-Hermite Quadrature to compute
@ -158,9 +158,9 @@ class Likelihood(Parameterized):
#evaluate the likelhood for the grid. First ax indexes the data (and mu, var) and the second indexes the grid.
# broadcast needs to be handled carefully.
logp = self.logpdf(X,Y[:,None])
dlogp_dx = self.dlogpdf_df(X, Y[:,None])
d2logp_dx2 = self.d2logpdf_df2(X, Y[:,None])
logp = self.logpdf(X,Y[:,None], Y_metadata=Y_metadata)
dlogp_dx = self.dlogpdf_df(X, Y[:,None], Y_metadata=Y_metadata)
d2logp_dx2 = self.d2logpdf_df2(X, Y[:,None], Y_metadata=Y_metadata)
#clipping for numerical stability
#logp = np.clip(logp,-1e9,1e9)

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@ -64,8 +64,7 @@ class Poisson(Likelihood):
:rtype: float
"""
assert np.atleast_1d(link_f).shape == np.atleast_1d(y).shape
return np.sum(-link_f + y*np.log(link_f) - special.gammaln(y+1))
return -link_f + y*np.log(link_f) - special.gammaln(y+1)
def dlogpdf_dlink(self, link_f, y, Y_metadata=None):
"""
@ -83,7 +82,6 @@ class Poisson(Likelihood):
:rtype: Nx1 array
"""
assert np.atleast_1d(link_f).shape == np.atleast_1d(y).shape
return y/link_f - 1
def d2logpdf_dlink2(self, link_f, y, Y_metadata=None):
@ -107,12 +105,7 @@ class Poisson(Likelihood):
Will return diagonal of hessian, since every where else it is 0, as the likelihood factorizes over cases
(the distribution for y_i depends only on link(f_i) not on link(f_(j!=i))
"""
assert np.atleast_1d(link_f).shape == np.atleast_1d(y).shape
hess = -y/(link_f**2)
return hess
#d2_df = self.gp_link.d2transf_df2(gp)
#transf = self.gp_link.transf(gp)
#return obs * ((self.gp_link.dtransf_df(gp)/transf)**2 - d2_df/transf) + d2_df
return -y/(link_f**2)
def d3logpdf_dlink3(self, link_f, y, Y_metadata=None):
"""