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Added binomial likelihood
Also some changes to pass through Y_metadata, where it had previously been (errorneously) omitted.
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5 changed files with 133 additions and 14 deletions
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@ -6,3 +6,4 @@ from poisson import Poisson
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from student_t import StudentT
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from likelihood import Likelihood
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from mixed_noise import MixedNoise
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from binomial import Binomial
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125
GPy/likelihoods/binomial.py
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125
GPy/likelihoods/binomial.py
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@ -0,0 +1,125 @@
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# Copyright (c) 2012-2014 The GPy authors (see AUTHORS.txt)
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# Licensed under the BSD 3-clause license (see LICENSE.txt)
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import numpy as np
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from ..util.univariate_Gaussian import std_norm_pdf, std_norm_cdf
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import link_functions
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from likelihood import Likelihood
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from scipy import special
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class Binomial(Likelihood):
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"""
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Binomial likelihood
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.. math::
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p(y_{i}|\\lambda(f_{i})) = \\lambda(f_{i})^{y_{i}}(1-f_{i})^{1-y_{i}}
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.. Note::
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Y takes values in either {-1, 1} or {0, 1}.
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link function should have the domain [0, 1], e.g. probit (default) or Heaviside
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.. See also::
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likelihood.py, for the parent class
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"""
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def __init__(self, gp_link=None):
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if gp_link is None:
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gp_link = link_functions.Probit()
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super(Binomial, self).__init__(gp_link, 'Binomial')
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def conditional_mean(self, gp, Y_metadata):
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return self.gp_link(gp)*Y_metadata['trials']
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def pdf_link(self, inv_link_f, y, Y_metadata):
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"""
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Likelihood function given inverse link of f.
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.. math::
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p(y_{i}|\\lambda(f_{i})) = \\lambda(f_{i})^{y_{i}}(1-f_{i})^{1-y_{i}}
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:param inv_link_f: latent variables inverse link of f.
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:type inv_link_f: Nx1 array
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:param y: data
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:type y: Nx1 array
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:param Y_metadata: Y_metadata must contain 'trials'
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:returns: likelihood evaluated for this point
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:rtype: float
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.. Note:
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Each y_i must be in {0, 1}
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"""
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return np.exp(self.logpdf_link(inv_link_f, y, Y_metadata))
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def logpdf_link(self, inv_link_f, y, Y_metadata=None):
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"""
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Log Likelihood function given inverse link of f.
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.. math::
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\\ln p(y_{i}|\\lambda(f_{i})) = y_{i}\\log\\lambda(f_{i}) + (1-y_{i})\\log (1-f_{i})
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:param inv_link_f: latent variables inverse link of f.
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:type inv_link_f: Nx1 array
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:param y: data
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:type y: Nx1 array
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:param Y_metadata: Y_metadata must contain 'trials'
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:returns: log likelihood evaluated at points inverse link of f.
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:rtype: float
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"""
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N = Y_metadata['trials']
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nchoosey = special.gammaln(N+1) - special.gammaln(y+1) - special.gammaln(N-y+1)
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return nchoosey + y*np.log(inv_link_f) + (N-y)*np.log(1.-inv_link_f)
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def dlogpdf_dlink(self, inv_link_f, y, Y_metadata=None):
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"""
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Gradient of the pdf at y, given inverse link of f w.r.t inverse link of f.
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:param inv_link_f: latent variables inverse link of f.
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:type inv_link_f: Nx1 array
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:param y: data
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:type y: Nx1 array
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:param Y_metadata: Y_metadata must contain 'trials'
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:returns: gradient of log likelihood evaluated at points inverse link of f.
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:rtype: Nx1 array
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"""
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N = Y_metadata['trials']
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return y/inv_link_f - (N-y)/(1-inv_link_f)
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def d2logpdf_dlink2(self, inv_link_f, y, Y_metadata=None):
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"""
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Hessian at y, given inv_link_f, w.r.t inv_link_f the hessian will be 0 unless i == j
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i.e. second derivative logpdf at y given inverse link of f_i and inverse link of f_j w.r.t inverse link of f_i and inverse link of f_j.
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.. math::
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\\frac{d^{2}\\ln p(y_{i}|\\lambda(f_{i}))}{d\\lambda(f)^{2}} = \\frac{-y_{i}}{\\lambda(f)^{2}} - \\frac{(1-y_{i})}{(1-\\lambda(f))^{2}}
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:param inv_link_f: latent variables inverse link of f.
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:type inv_link_f: Nx1 array
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:param y: data
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:type y: Nx1 array
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:param Y_metadata: Y_metadata not used in binomial
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:returns: Diagonal of log hessian matrix (second derivative of log likelihood evaluated at points inverse link of f.
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:rtype: Nx1 array
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.. Note::
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Will return diagonal of hessian, since every where else it is 0, as the likelihood factorizes over cases
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(the distribution for y_i depends only on inverse link of f_i not on inverse link of f_(j!=i)
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"""
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N = Y_metadata['trials']
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return -y/np.square(inv_link_f) - (N-y)/np.square(1-inv_link_f)
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def samples(self, gp, Y_metadata=None):
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"""
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Returns a set of samples of observations based on a given value of the latent variable.
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:param gp: latent variable
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"""
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orig_shape = gp.shape
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gp = gp.flatten()
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N = Y_metadata['trials']
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Ysim = np.random.binomial(N, self.gp_link.transf(gp))
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return Ysim.reshape(orig_shape)
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def exact_inference_gradients(self, dL_dKdiag,Y_metadata=None):
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pass
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@ -131,7 +131,7 @@ class Likelihood(Parameterized):
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return z, mean, variance
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def variational_expectations(self, Y, m, v, gh_points=None):
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def variational_expectations(self, Y, m, v, gh_points=None, Y_metadata=None):
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"""
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Use Gauss-Hermite Quadrature to compute
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@ -158,9 +158,9 @@ class Likelihood(Parameterized):
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#evaluate the likelhood for the grid. First ax indexes the data (and mu, var) and the second indexes the grid.
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# broadcast needs to be handled carefully.
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logp = self.logpdf(X,Y[:,None])
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dlogp_dx = self.dlogpdf_df(X, Y[:,None])
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d2logp_dx2 = self.d2logpdf_df2(X, Y[:,None])
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logp = self.logpdf(X,Y[:,None], Y_metadata=Y_metadata)
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dlogp_dx = self.dlogpdf_df(X, Y[:,None], Y_metadata=Y_metadata)
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d2logp_dx2 = self.d2logpdf_df2(X, Y[:,None], Y_metadata=Y_metadata)
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#clipping for numerical stability
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#logp = np.clip(logp,-1e9,1e9)
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@ -64,8 +64,7 @@ class Poisson(Likelihood):
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:rtype: float
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"""
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assert np.atleast_1d(link_f).shape == np.atleast_1d(y).shape
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return np.sum(-link_f + y*np.log(link_f) - special.gammaln(y+1))
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return -link_f + y*np.log(link_f) - special.gammaln(y+1)
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def dlogpdf_dlink(self, link_f, y, Y_metadata=None):
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"""
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@ -83,7 +82,6 @@ class Poisson(Likelihood):
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:rtype: Nx1 array
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"""
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assert np.atleast_1d(link_f).shape == np.atleast_1d(y).shape
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return y/link_f - 1
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def d2logpdf_dlink2(self, link_f, y, Y_metadata=None):
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@ -107,12 +105,7 @@ class Poisson(Likelihood):
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Will return diagonal of hessian, since every where else it is 0, as the likelihood factorizes over cases
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(the distribution for y_i depends only on link(f_i) not on link(f_(j!=i))
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"""
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assert np.atleast_1d(link_f).shape == np.atleast_1d(y).shape
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hess = -y/(link_f**2)
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return hess
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#d2_df = self.gp_link.d2transf_df2(gp)
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#transf = self.gp_link.transf(gp)
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#return obs * ((self.gp_link.dtransf_df(gp)/transf)**2 - d2_df/transf) + d2_df
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return -y/(link_f**2)
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def d3logpdf_dlink3(self, link_f, y, Y_metadata=None):
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"""
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