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Solving merge conflicts
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38d2a5f91d
3 changed files with 62 additions and 53 deletions
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@ -20,11 +20,19 @@ def crescent_data(model_type='Full', inducing=10, seed=default_seed): #FIXME
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:param inducing : number of inducing variables (only used for 'FITC' or 'DTC').
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:type inducing: int
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"""
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data = GPy.util.datasets.crescent_data(seed=seed)
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likelihood = GPy.inference.likelihoods.probit(data['Y'])
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# Kernel object
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kernel = GPy.kern.rbf(data['X'].shape[1])
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# Likelihood object
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distribution = GPy.likelihoods.likelihood_functions.probit()
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likelihood = GPy.likelihoods.EP(data['Y'],distribution)
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if model_type=='Full':
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m = GPy.models.GP_EP(data['X'],likelihood)
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m = GPy.models.GP(data['X'],likelihood,kernel)
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else:
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# create sparse GP EP model
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m = GPy.models.sparse_GP_EP(data['X'],likelihood=likelihood,inducing=inducing,ep_proxy=model_type)
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@ -33,7 +41,7 @@ def crescent_data(model_type='Full', inducing=10, seed=default_seed): #FIXME
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print(m)
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# optimize
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m.em()
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m.optimize()
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print(m)
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# plot
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@ -53,7 +61,7 @@ def oil():
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likelihood = GPy.likelihoods.EP(data['Y'][:, 0:1],distribution)
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# Create GP model
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m = GPy.models.GP(data['X'],kernel,likelihood=likelihood)
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m = GPy.models.GP(data['X'],likelihood=likelihood,kernel=kernel)
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# Contrain all parameters to be positive
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m.constrain_positive('')
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@ -71,17 +79,18 @@ def toy_linear_1d_classification(seed=default_seed):
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Simple 1D classification example
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:param seed : seed value for data generation (default is 4).
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:type seed: int
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:type inducing: int
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"""
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data = GPy.util.datasets.toy_linear_1d_classification(seed=seed)
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Y = data['Y'][:, 0:1]
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Y[Y == -1] = 0
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# Kernel object
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kernel = GPy.kern.rbf(1)
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# Likelihood object
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distribution = GPy.likelihoods.likelihood_functions.probit()
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likelihood = GPy.likelihoods.EP(data['Y'][:, 0:1],distribution)
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likelihood = GPy.likelihoods.EP(Y,distribution)
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# Model definition
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m = GPy.models.GP(data['X'],likelihood=likelihood,kernel=kernel)
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@ -98,7 +107,7 @@ def toy_linear_1d_classification(seed=default_seed):
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# Plot
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pb.subplot(211)
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m.plot_internal()
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m.plot_f()
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pb.subplot(212)
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m.plot()
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print(m)
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@ -3,46 +3,45 @@
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"""
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Simple Gaussian Processes classification
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Gaussian Processes + Expectation Propagation - Poisson Likelihood
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"""
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import pylab as pb
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import numpy as np
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import GPy
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pb.ion()
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pb.close('all')
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default_seed=10000
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model_type='Full'
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inducing=4
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seed=default_seed
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"""Simple 1D classification example.
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:param model_type: type of model to fit ['Full', 'FITC', 'DTC'].
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:param seed : seed value for data generation (default is 4).
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:type seed: int
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:param inducing : number of inducing variables (only used for 'FITC' or 'DTC').
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:type inducing: int
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"""
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def toy_1d(seed=default_seed):
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"""
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Simple 1D classification example
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:param seed : seed value for data generation (default is 4).
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:type seed: int
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"""
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X = np.arange(0,100,5)[:,None]
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F = np.round(np.sin(X/18.) + .1*X) + np.arange(5,25)[:,None]
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E = np.random.randint(-5,5,20)[:,None]
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Y = F + E
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pb.figure()
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likelihood = GPy.inference.likelihoods.poisson(Y,scale=1.)
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X = np.arange(0,100,5)[:,None]
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F = np.round(np.sin(X/18.) + .1*X) + np.arange(5,25)[:,None]
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E = np.random.randint(-5,5,20)[:,None]
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Y = F + E
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m = GPy.models.GP(X,likelihood=likelihood)
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#m = GPy.models.GP(X,Y=likelihood.Y)
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kernel = GPy.kern.rbf(1)
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distribution = GPy.likelihoods.likelihood_functions.Poisson()
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likelihood = GPy.likelihoods.EP(Y,distribution)
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m.constrain_positive('var')
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m.constrain_positive('len')
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m.tie_param('lengthscale')
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if not isinstance(m.likelihood,GPy.inference.likelihoods.gaussian):
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m.approximate_likelihood()
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print m.checkgrad()
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# Optimize and plot
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m.optimize()
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#m.em(plot_all=False) # EM algorithm
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m.plot(samples=4)
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m = GPy.models.GP(X,likelihood,kernel)
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m.ensure_default_constraints()
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print(m)
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# Approximate likelihood
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m.update_likelihood_approximation()
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# Optimize and plot
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m.optimize()
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#m.EPEM FIXME
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print m
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# Plot
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pb.subplot(211)
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m.plot_f() #GP plot
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pb.subplot(212)
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m.plot() #Output plot
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return m
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@ -38,6 +38,7 @@ class probit(likelihood_function):
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:param v_i: mean/variance of the cavity distribution (float)
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"""
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# TODO: some version of assert np.sum(np.abs(Y)-1) == 0, "Output values must be either -1 or 1"
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if data_i == 0: data_i = -1 #NOTE Binary classification works better classes {-1,1}, 1D-plotting works better with classes {0,1}.
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z = data_i*v_i/np.sqrt(tau_i**2 + tau_i)
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Z_hat = stats.norm.cdf(z)
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phi = stats.norm.pdf(z)
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@ -52,9 +53,9 @@ class probit(likelihood_function):
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mu = mu.flatten()
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var = var.flatten()
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mean = stats.norm.cdf(mu/np.sqrt(1+var))
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p_05 = np.zeros(mu.shape)#np.zeros([mu.size])
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p_95 = np.zeros(mu.shape)#np.ones([mu.size])
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return mean, p_05, p_95
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p_025 = np.zeros(mu.shape)
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p_975 = np.ones(mu.shape)
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return mean, p_025, p_975
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class Poisson(likelihood_function):
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"""
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@ -65,7 +66,7 @@ class Poisson(likelihood_function):
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L(x) = \exp(\lambda) * \lambda**Y_i / Y_i!
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$$
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"""
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def moments_match(self,i,tau_i,v_i):
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def moments_match(self,data_i,tau_i,v_i):
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"""
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Moments match of the marginal approximation in EP algorithm
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@ -81,14 +82,14 @@ class Poisson(likelihood_function):
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"""
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pdf_norm_f = stats.norm.pdf(f,loc=mu,scale=sigma)
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rate = np.exp( (f*self.scale)+self.location)
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poisson = stats.poisson.pmf(float(self.Y[i]),rate)
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poisson = stats.poisson.pmf(float(data_i),rate)
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return pdf_norm_f*poisson
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def log_pnm(f):
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"""
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Log of poisson_norm
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"""
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return -(-.5*(f-mu)**2/sigma**2 - np.exp( (f*self.scale)+self.location) + ( (f*self.scale)+self.location)*self.Y[i])
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return -(-.5*(f-mu)**2/sigma**2 - np.exp( (f*self.scale)+self.location) + ( (f*self.scale)+self.location)*data_i)
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"""
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Golden Search and Simpson's Rule
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@ -99,17 +100,17 @@ class Poisson(likelihood_function):
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#TODO golden search & simpson's rule can be defined in the general likelihood class, rather than in each specific case.
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#Golden search
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golden_A = -1 if self.Y[i] == 0 else np.array([np.log(self.Y[i]),mu]).min() #Lower limit
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golden_B = np.array([np.log(self.Y[i]),mu]).max() #Upper limit
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golden_A = -1 if data_i == 0 else np.array([np.log(data_i),mu]).min() #Lower limit
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golden_B = np.array([np.log(data_i),mu]).max() #Upper limit
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golden_A = (golden_A - self.location)/self.scale
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golden_B = (golden_B - self.location)/self.scale
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opt = sp.optimize.golden(log_pnm,brack=(golden_A,golden_B)) #Better to work with log_pnm than with poisson_norm
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# Simpson's approximation
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width = 3./np.log(max(self.Y[i],2))
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width = 3./np.log(max(data_i,2))
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A = opt - width #Lower limit
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B = opt + width #Upper limit
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K = 10*int(np.log(max(self.Y[i],150))) #Number of points in the grid, we DON'T want K to be the same number for every case
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K = 10*int(np.log(max(data_i,150))) #Number of points in the grid, we DON'T want K to be the same number for every case
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h = (B-A)/K # length of the intervals
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grid_x = np.hstack([np.linspace(opt-width,opt,K/2+1)[1:-1], np.linspace(opt,opt+width,K/2+1)]) # grid of points (X axis)
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x = np.hstack([A,B,grid_x[range(1,K,2)],grid_x[range(2,K-1,2)]]) # grid_x rearranged, just to make Simpson's algorithm easier
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@ -127,7 +128,7 @@ class Poisson(likelihood_function):
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Compute mean, and conficence interval (percentiles 5 and 95) of the prediction
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"""
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mean = np.exp(mu*self.scale + self.location)
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tmp = stats.poisson.ppf(np.array([.05,.95]),mu)
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p_05 = tmp[:,0]
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p_95 = tmp[:,1]
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return mean,p_05,p_95
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tmp = stats.poisson.ppf(np.array([.025,.975]),mean)
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p_025 = tmp[:,0]
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p_975 = tmp[:,1]
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return mean,p_025,p_975
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