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following naming convention better, lots of inverses which should be able to get rid of one or two, unsure if it works
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3 changed files with 39 additions and 30 deletions
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@ -1,12 +1,10 @@
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import numpy as np
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import scipy as sp
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import GPy
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from GPy.util.linalg import jitchol
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#from GPy.util.linalg import jitchol
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from functools import partial
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from GPy.likelihoods.likelihood import likelihood
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from GPy.util.linalg import pdinv,mdot
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from scipy.stats import norm
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class Laplace(likelihood):
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"""Laplace approximation to a posterior"""
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@ -35,6 +33,8 @@ class Laplace(likelihood):
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#Inital values
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self.N, self.D = self.data.shape
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self.NORMAL_CONST = -((0.5 * self.N) * np.log(2 * np.pi))
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def _compute_GP_variables(self):
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"""
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Generates data Y which would give the normal distribution identical to the laplace approximation
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@ -59,12 +59,15 @@ class Laplace(likelihood):
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and $$\ln \tilde{z} = \ln z + \frac{N}{2}\ln 2\pi + \frac{1}{2}\tilde{Y}\tilde{\Sigma}^{-1}\tilde{Y}$$
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"""
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self.Sigma_tilde = self.hess_hat -
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self.Z =
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#self.Y =
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#self.YYT =
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#self.covariance_matrix =
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#self.precision =
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self.Sigma_tilde_i = self.hess_hat + self.Ki
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#Do we really need to inverse Sigma_tilde_i? :(
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(self.Sigma_tilde, _, _, self.log_Sig_i_det) = pdinv(self.Sigma_tilde_i)
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Y_tilde = mdot(self.Sigma_tilde, self.hess_hat, self.f_hat) #f_hat? should be f but we must have optimized for them I guess?
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self.Z_tilde = np.exp(self.ln_z_hat - self.NORMAL_CONST + (0.5 * mdot(Y_tilde, (self.Sigma_tilde_i, Y_tilde))))
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self.Y = Y_tilde
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self.covariance_matrix = self.Sigma_tilde
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self.precision = np.diag(self.Sigma_tilde)[:, None]
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self.YYT = np.dot(self.Y, self.Y)
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def fit_full(self, K):
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"""
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@ -75,38 +78,40 @@ class Laplace(likelihood):
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f = np.zeros((self.N, 1))
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#K = np.diag(np.ones(self.N))
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(self.Ki, _, _, self.log_Kdet) = pdinv(K)
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obj_constant = (0.5 * self.log_Kdet) - ((0.5 * self.N) * np.log(2 * np.pi))
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LOG_K_CONST = -(0.5 * self.log_Kdet)
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OBJ_CONST = self.NORMAL_CONST + LOG_K_CONST
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#Find \hat(f) using a newton raphson optimizer for example
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#TODO: Add newton-raphson as subclass of optimizer class
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#FIXME: Can we get rid of this horrible reshaping?
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def obj(f):
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f = f[:, None]
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res = -1 * (self.likelihood_function.link_function(self.data, f) - 0.5 * mdot(f.T, (self.Ki, f)) + obj_constant)
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#f = f[:, None]
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res = -1 * (self.likelihood_function.link_function(self.data[:,0], f) - 0.5 * mdot(f.T, (self.Ki, f)) + OBJ_CONST)
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return float(res)
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def obj_grad(f):
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f = f[:, None]
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res = -1 * (self.likelihood_function.link_grad(self.data, f) - mdot(self.Ki, f))
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#f = f[:, None]
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res = -1 * (self.likelihood_function.link_grad(self.data[:,0], f) - mdot(self.Ki, f))
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return np.squeeze(res)
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def obj_hess(f):
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f = f[:, None]
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res = -1 * (np.diag(self.likelihood_function.link_hess(self.data, f)) - self.Ki)
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res = -1 * (np.diag(self.likelihood_function.link_hess(self.data[:,0], f)) - self.Ki)
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return np.squeeze(res)
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self.f_hat = sp.optimize.fmin_ncg(obj, f, fprime=obj_grad, fhess=obj_hess)
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print self.f_hat
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#At this point get the hessian matrix
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self.hess_hat = obj_hess(self.f_hat)
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self.hess_hat = -1*np.diag(self.likelihood_function.link_hess(self.data[:,0], self.f_hat)) #-1*obj_hess(self.f_hat) + self.Ki
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#self.hess_hat = -1*obj_hess(self.f_hat) + self.Ki
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(self.hess_hat_i, _, _, self.log_hess_hat_det) = pdinv(self.hess_hat + self.Ki)
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#Need to add the constant as we previously were trying to avoid computing it (seems like a small overhead though...)
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self.height_unnormalised = -1*obj(self.f_hat) #FIXME: Is it - obj constant and *-1?
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#z_hat is how much we need to scale the normal distribution by to get the area of our approximation close to
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#the area of p(f)p(y|f) we do this by matching the height of the distributions at the mode
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#z_hat = -0.5*ln|H| - 0.5*ln|K| - 0.5*f_hat*K^{-1}*f_hat \sum_{n} ln p(y_n|f_n)
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self.z_hat = np.exp(-0.5*np.log(np.linalg.det(hess_hat)) + self.height_unnormalised)
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self.ln_z_hat = -0.5*np.log(self.log_hess_hat_det) + self.height_unnormalised - self.NORMAL_CONST #Unsure whether its log_hess or log_hess_i
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return self._compute_GP_variables()
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